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IVX estimation

Predictive regressions with persistent regressors, short and long horizon (Kostakis, Magdalinos & Stamatogiannis 2015, 2023).

ivx() print(<ivx>)
Fitting IVX Models
ivx_sys() print(<ivx_sys>) summary(<ivx_sys>)
Fitting Systems of IVX Predictive Regressions

Extensions

Modifications of the IVX estimator for specific error structures or targets.

ivx_ar() print(<ivx_ar>)
Fitting IVX-AR Models
ivx_ra() print(<ivx_ra>)
Fitting Residual-Augmented IVX Models
ivx_qr() print(<ivx_qr>) summary(<ivx_qr>)
Fitting IVX Quantile Predictive Regressions
ivx_iv() print(<ivx_iv>)
IV Predictability Tests with Combined Instruments

Robust and subsample inference

Wild bootstrap p-values and tests for pockets of predictability (Demetrescu et al. 2022, 2023).

ivx_boot() print(<ivx_boot>)
Wild Bootstrap Inference for IVX Models
ivx_qr_boot() print(<ivx_qr_boot>)
Moving Block Bootstrap for IVX-QR
ivx_episodic() print(<ivx_episodic>)
Subsample IVX Tests for Episodic Predictability

Non-IVX benchmarks

Reduced-bias OLS alternatives for stationary persistent predictors.

arm() print(<arm>)
Augmented Regression Method (Amihud, Hurvich & Wang)
hlt_test() hlt_test_fit() print(<hlt_test>)
Hybrid t-Test for Return Predictability (Harvey, Leybourne & Taylor)
el_test() el_test_fit() print(<el_test>)
Unified Empirical Likelihood Test for Predictability (Liu, Yang, Cai & Peng)
cy_test() cy_test_fit() print(<cy_test>)
Bonferroni Q-Test of Campbell and Yogo (2006)
elliott_cf() elliott_cf_fit() print(<elliott_cf>)
Control-Function Predictability Test of Elliott (2011)

Serial correlation tests

ac_test()
Autocorrelation tests
ac_test_wald() ac_test_lb() ac_test_bp() ac_test_bg()
Tests for autocorrelation

Fitter functions

Low-level functions taking a response and a design matrix.

ivx_fit() ivx_wfit()
Fitter Functions for IVX Models
ivx_ar_fit()
Fitter Functions for IVX-AR Models
ivx_ra_fit()
Fitter Function for Residual-Augmented IVX Models
ivx_qr_fit()
Fitter Function for IVX-QR Models
arm_fit()
Fitter Function for the Augmented Regression Method
ivx_iv_fit()
Fitter Function for IV Predictability Tests
ivx_sys_fit()
Fitter Function for Systems IVX Models

Methods

summary(<ivx>) print(<summary.ivx>)
Summarizing IVX Model Fits
summary(<ivx_ar>) print(<summary.ivx_ar>)
Summarizing IVX-AR Model Fits
vcov(<ivx>) vcov(<summary.ivx>)
Calculate Variance-Covariance Matrix for a Fitted Model Object
delta()
Calculate the delta coefficient
extract.ivx() extract.ivx_ar()
extract method for ivx objects

Data

kms
KMS Monthly data
kms_quarterly
KMS Quarterly data
monthly
Monthly dataset of KMS
quarterly
Quarterly dataset of KMS
ylpc
YLPC Quarterly data